Saturday, May 18, 2013

Preakness 2013 Contenders: How Post Positions Will Affect Orb and Favorites

In the world of hose racing, post positions can flat-out determine which contenders will cross the finish line first.

The best thoroughbreds are capable of winning the biggest races from any slot in the gate, but more often than not, it depends on the makeup of the horse and jockey. Some thrive being closer to the rail, while some are more comfortable making up the ground on the outside.

Even at the 2013 Preakness Stakes, where there a mere nine horses in the field—which significantly shrinks the impact of the post draw—the positions of each horse will be important.

The Kentucky Derby winner will still enter Pimlico as the heavy favorite to win the Second Jewel of the Triple Crown, but this certainly makes things interesting.

While the small field makes this slightly more bearable, being on the rail is an unenviable spot. Recent history backs up that belief (via Daily Racing Form's David Grening):

Moreover, this doesn't exactly fit Orb's style, who came from the outside to win both the Kentucky and Florida Derby (via Trakus Racing):

Nevertheless, despite the undesirable inside position, rest assured that Orb is still the clear favorite. He is an extremely talented horse who has continued to look strong after winning his fifth race in a row at Churchill.

Rosie Napravnik and Mylute have been gaining quite a bit of momentum ever since their fifth-place finish at the Kentucky Derby, and now they are all the way up to the second favorite.

At the Kentucky Derby, Mylute got bottlenecked at the beginning but ran an Orb-like race and returned toward the front with a blazing finish.

Even though she's in the middle, a small field will allow Napravnik to avoid that kind of start. After that, she'll be able to run the race she wants.

Departing didn't participate in the Kentucky Derby, but as a winner of four of his five career races, he has been garnering lots of attention.

Much like the first two horses on this list, he clearly is capable of covering a good amount of ground. In this particular race, he started from post No. 14 (out of 15), took a patient approach and made a late break for the win.

Departing would have rather been placed a little farther outside, but No. 4 shouldn't be a deal-breaker if you were already on the bandwagon.

Link: Belasteguin and Diaz are also imposed in the second round of the World paddle Tour

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